White evangelicals, who remain Trump’s most loyal supporters, had hailed his review of federal courts and his reshuffle of the Supreme Court as perhaps his greatest success. But there remains a concern after the court surprised them by not having decided their path in past cases.
“Trying to predict what the Supreme Court will do about a state law on abortion regulation is like trying to predict the path of a hurricane, even if it’s harder, because there’s a lot at stake,” Ralph Reed said. president of the Faith and Freedom Coalition and a longtime ally of Trump.
Reed acknowledged that abortion is only an important issue for a small minority of voters, but argued that in many competitive elections to Congress and government, “theoretically it could be the difference.”
“It’s not necessarily the highest issue when it comes to voting determination, but it still matters in terms of intensity and enthusiasm,” he said.
Among the 2022 races in the U.S. Senate where the issue could be a key factor are Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Florida.
If the Mississippi ban is upheld, “the pro-living would be energized,” said Michael New, an opponent of abortion who teaches social research at the Catholic University of America.
“It would be shown that the strategy of supporting pro-life candidates for the presidency resulted in a Supreme Court that sympathized with the legal protections of prehistoric children,” he said. “Pro-life state lawmakers from other states are likely to pass similar abortion bans for 15 weeks, confident that those bans will also be maintained.”